Dreams & Nightmares Case
Browse all 67 skins in this case
Released: 21 Jan 2022
Opening it costs $3.39 and returns 36% of that on average. See the odds ↓
Case Contents
Special Items
Knives
AK-47 | Nightwish
MP9 | Starlight Protector
Dual Berettas | Melondrama
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
M4A1-S | Night Terror
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
MAC-10 | Ensnared
MAG-7 | Foresight
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
Opening odds and value
Cost to open
$3.39
Case $0.90 + key $2.49
Average drop value
$1.23
Expected market value of one opening
Average return
36%
#33 of 42 cases · 45% paying the key with Steam balance
Chance to profit
4.2%
Drop worth at least $3.39
Drop odds by rarity
| Rarity | Chance | 1 in | Items | Average value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 1 | 7 | $0.07 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 6 | 5 | $0.63 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | $5.30 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | $55.30 |
| Rare special item (knife / gloves) | 0.26% | 385 | 30 | $210.41 |
Most valuable drops
Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler
≈ $1,504.59 · 1 in 11,538
Butterfly Knife | Autotronic
≈ $749.78 · 1 in 11,538
Butterfly Knife | Lore
≈ $613.66 · 1 in 11,538
Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate
≈ $533.90 · 1 in 11,538
Butterfly Knife | Freehand
≈ $529.22 · 1 in 11,538
Butterfly Knife | Bright Water
≈ $470.35 · 1 in 11,538
Doppler and Gamma Doppler knives count at their cheapest phase: marketplaces list the phases under one name, and Ruby, Sapphire or Black Pearl are worth several times more. The real average for this case is somewhat higher.
How it is calculated: Valve's published odds by rarity (rare special item 0.26%), every item equally likely within its rarity, 10% StatTrak (not for gloves), the float distribution measured by the community and today's cheaper listing of Skinport and CSFloat; key $2.49 (paid by card; with Steam balance it costs less in real money, which is the second return figure). Market value, not what you would get after marketplace fees. Compare every case →