Falchion Case
Browse all 29 skins in this case
Released: 28 May 2015
Opening it costs $3.84 and returns 45% of that on average. See the odds ↓
Case Contents
Special Items
Knives
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
AWP | Hyper Beast
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
MP7 | Nemesis
SG 553 | Cyrex
FAMAS | Neural Net
P2000 | Handgun
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Negev | Loudmouth
Galil AR | Rocket Pop
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner
Nova | Ranger
P90 | Elite Build
UMP-45 | Riot
USP-S | Torque
Opening odds and value
Cost to open
$3.84
Case $1.35 + key $2.49
Average drop value
$1.74
Expected market value of one opening
Average return
45%
#23 of 42 cases · 54% paying the key with Steam balance
Chance to profit
7.8%
Drop worth at least $3.84
Drop odds by rarity
| Rarity | Chance | 1 in | Items | Average value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 1 | 6 | $0.80 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 6 | 5 | $2.08 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | $7.31 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | $40.48 |
| Rare special item (knife / gloves) | 0.26% | 385 | 13 | $104.93 |
Most valuable drops
How it is calculated: Valve's published odds by rarity (rare special item 0.26%), every item equally likely within its rarity, 10% StatTrak (not for gloves), the float distribution measured by the community and today's cheaper listing of Skinport and CSFloat; key $2.49 (paid by card; with Steam balance it costs less in real money, which is the second return figure). Market value, not what you would get after marketplace fees. Compare every case →