Operation Phoenix Weapon Case
Browse all 78 skins in this case
Released: 21 Feb 2014
Opening it costs $5.50 and returns 47% of that on average. See the odds ↓
Case Contents
Special Items
Knives
AUG | Chameleon
AWP | Asiimov
AK-47 | Redline
Nova | Antique
P90 | Trigon
FAMAS | Sergeant
MAC-10 | Heat
SG 553 | Pulse
USP-S | Guardian
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard
Negev | Terrain
Tec-9 | Sandstorm
UMP-45 | Corporal
Opening odds and value
Cost to open
$5.50
Case $3.01 + key $2.49
Average drop value
$2.60
Expected market value of one opening
Average return
47%
#17 of 42 cases · 54% paying the key with Steam balance
Chance to profit
4.6%
Drop worth at least $5.50
Drop odds by rarity
| Rarity | Chance | 1 in | Items | Average value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 1 | 4 | $0.43 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 6 | 4 | $2.75 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | $17.03 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | $80.75 |
| Rare special item (knife / gloves) | 0.26% | 385 | 65 | $291.24 |
Most valuable drops
How it is calculated: Valve's published odds by rarity (rare special item 0.26%), every item equally likely within its rarity, 10% StatTrak (not for gloves), the float distribution measured by the community and today's cheaper listing of Skinport and CSFloat; key $2.49 (paid by card; with Steam balance it costs less in real money, which is the second return figure). Market value, not what you would get after marketplace fees. Compare every case →