Operation Wildfire Case
Browse all 29 skins in this case
Released: 19 Jan 2016
Opening it costs $4.81 and returns 54% of that on average. See the odds ↓
Case Contents
Special Items
Knives
AK-47 | Fuel Injector
M4A4 | The Battlestar
AWP | Elite Build
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon
Nova | Hyper Beast
FAMAS | Valence
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Glock-18 | Royal Legion
MAG-7 | Praetorian
MP7 | Impire
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone
Dual Berettas | Cartel
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator
SSG 08 | Necropos
Tec-9 | Jambiya
USP-S | Lead Conduit
Opening odds and value
Cost to open
$4.81
Case $2.32 + key $2.49
Average drop value
$2.62
Expected market value of one opening
Average return
54%
#5 of 42 cases · 63% paying the key with Steam balance
Chance to profit
7.6%
Drop worth at least $4.81
Drop odds by rarity
| Rarity | Chance | 1 in | Items | Average value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 1 | 6 | $0.89 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 6 | 5 | $3.52 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | $17.10 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | $84.84 |
| Rare special item (knife / gloves) | 0.26% | 385 | 13 | $97.63 |
Most valuable drops
How it is calculated: Valve's published odds by rarity (rare special item 0.26%), every item equally likely within its rarity, 10% StatTrak (not for gloves), the float distribution measured by the community and today's cheaper listing of Skinport and CSFloat; key $2.49 (paid by card; with Steam balance it costs less in real money, which is the second return figure). Market value, not what you would get after marketplace fees. Compare every case →