Shadow Case
Browse all 29 skins in this case
Released: 15 Sep 2015
Opening it costs $3.76 and returns 49% of that on average. See the odds ↓
Case Contents
Special Items
Knives
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
G3SG1 | Flux
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Galil AR | Stone Cold
M249 | Nebula Crusader
MP7 | Special Delivery
P250 | Wingshot
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons
FAMAS | Survivor Z
Glock-18 | Wraiths
MAC-10 | Rangeen
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core
SCAR-20 | Green Marine
XM1014 | Scumbria
Opening odds and value
Cost to open
$3.76
Case $1.27 + key $2.49
Average drop value
$1.86
Expected market value of one opening
Average return
49%
#11 of 42 cases · 60% paying the key with Steam balance
Chance to profit
7.6%
Drop worth at least $3.76
Drop odds by rarity
| Rarity | Chance | 1 in | Items | Average value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 1 | 7 | $0.52 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 6 | 4 | $2.24 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | $14.12 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | $72.41 |
| Rare special item (knife / gloves) | 0.26% | 385 | 13 | $65.53 |
Most valuable drops
How it is calculated: Valve's published odds by rarity (rare special item 0.26%), every item equally likely within its rarity, 10% StatTrak (not for gloves), the float distribution measured by the community and today's cheaper listing of Skinport and CSFloat; key $2.49 (paid by card; with Steam balance it costs less in real money, which is the second return figure). Market value, not what you would get after marketplace fees. Compare every case →